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0x0f09…5cd0

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?−$50Yes · avg 57¢ → 55¢ · $1,090Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch?+$17No · avg 45¢ → 46¢ · $527Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?−$46Yes · avg 22¢ → 20¢ · $404Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch?+$2No · avg 49¢ → 50¢ · $197Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?−$210Yes · avg 20¢ → 9.5¢ · $190
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$100.6k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$6,448
Last 30 days −$307 · $543.2k volume · 333 trades · since Oct 20, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
−$4,585
Open P&L · 6 positions
−$1,817
Closed-position win rate
37%
67 closed
Wallet age · markets
369d
70 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ $25.3k0% 330d agoexcluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $25.4k100% 330d agoexcluded
Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $14.0k0% 330d agoexcluded
Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $14.0k100% 330d agoexcluded
Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.4¢ $10.9k1% 369d agoexcluded
Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ $10.9k100% 369d agoexcluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded
SELL No @ 99.6¢$25.3k
LOW 0x0f09…5cd0 · 330d ago
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded
BUY No @ 99.7¢$25.4k
LOW 0x0f09…5cd0 · 330d ago
Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?excluded
SELL No @ 99.8¢$14.0k
LOW 0x0f09…5cd0 · 330d ago
Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?excluded
BUY No @ 99.9¢$14.0k
LOW 0x0f09…5cd0 · 330d ago
Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?excluded
SELL No @ 99.4¢$10.9k
LOW 0x0f09…5cd0 · 369d ago
Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?excluded
BUY No @ 99.5¢$10.9k
LOW 0x0f09…5cd0 · 369d ago

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x0f09e1…