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What this means. A wallet put $11.9k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 13% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+8.5 pts over 35 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.9k
SELL Yes @ 87¢ · 13,667 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Proven walletCrypto
What happened
Wallet MisTKy took Yes (sell) for $11.9k at an average 87¢. At that price the market implied a 13% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $11.9k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 87¢
- Implied odds
- 12.9%
- Size
- $11.9k
- Placed
- Mar 02, 04:10 EST
- Market close
- Mar 29, 21:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- MisTKy
- Tx
- 0xc835de0e…
This wallet's graded record
25/35+8.5 pts
expected 22.0 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $30.7k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | MED SELL Yes @ 65¢ | $39.2k | missed |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | LOW BUY Yes @ 84¢ | $10.3k | called |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | LOW BUY Yes @ 71¢ | $11.1k | called |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | LOW BUY Yes @ 71¢ | $15.6k | called |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | LOW SELL Yes @ 36¢ | $10.2k | missed |