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What this means. A wallet put $43.3k on not No, at a price that gave it a 7% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$43.3k
SELL No @ 93.1¢ · 46,556 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet Jacky1888 took No (sell) for $43.3k at an average 93.1¢. At that price the market implied a 7% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $43.3k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 93.1¢
- Implied odds
- 6.9%
- Size
- $43.3k
- Placed
- May 04, 00:32 EDT
- Market close
- May 14, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Jacky1888
- Tx
- 0xc7a42179…
This wallet's graded record
1/2-33.9 pts
expected 1.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -7 ptsNo price · entry 93.1¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $199.8k 3.9× usual |
excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $14.3k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $13.2k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $11.4k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $58.4k | excluded |