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What this means. A wallet put $29.0k on Trail Blazers, at a price that gave it a 33% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$29.0k
BUY Trail Blazers @ 33¢ · 87,879 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideSports
What happened
Wallet 0x6a57…2afa took Trail Blazers (buy) for $29.0k at an average 33¢. At that price the market implied a 33% chance for that side. The market resolved Timberwolves, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $29.0k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 33¢ means
33%chance the market gave
+203American odds
$1.00paid per share if Trail Blazers wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 33¢
- Implied odds
- 33.0%
- As American odds
- +203 no vig
- Size
- $29.0k
- Placed
- Feb 24, 21:57 EST
- Market close
- Feb 24, 23:00 EST
- Result
- Timberwolves
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x6a57…2afa
- Tx
- 0xc5ccb4eb…
This wallet's graded record
0/2-37.0 pts
expected 0.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -33 ptsTrail Blazers price · entry 33¢ · resolved Timberwolves
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Timberwolves @ 99.9¢ | $11.9k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Timberwolves @ 99.9¢ | $11.9k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Timberwolves @ 99¢ | $22.2k | excluded | |
| MED SELL Timberwolves @ 84¢ | $28.3k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Timberwolves @ 70¢ | $181.8k 5.8× usual |
excluded | |
| MED BUY Timberwolves @ 69¢ | $41.3k 2.0× usual |
excluded |