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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 0.7 wins, so it did -37.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-37.0 pts
Called / graded
0/2
Expected from price
0.7
Flagged volume
$422.7k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±34.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$348.2k
Last 30 days +$0 · $9.14M volume · 1,431 trades · since Feb 19, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$348.2k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
45%
93 closed
Wallet age · markets
247d
93 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 0 | 0.7 | -37.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Nuggets vs. Jazz | MED BUY Nuggets @ 84¢ | $138.2k 2.7× usual |
excluded |
| Lakers vs. Warriors | LOW BUY Warriors @ 41¢ | $11.8k | missed |
| Rockets vs. Magic | LOW BUY Rockets @ 57¢ | $51.9k | excluded |
| Celtics vs. Nuggets | LOW BUY Nuggets @ 58¢ | $58.0k | excluded |
| Spurs vs. Raptors | MED BUY Raptors @ 32¢ | $41.0k | excluded |
| Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers | MED BUY Trail Blazers @ 33¢ | $29.0k | missed |
| 76ers vs. Pacers | LOW BUY 76ers @ 82¢ | $92.8k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x6a57d2…