← Live flags
Patriots vs. Broncosexcluded
What this means. A wallet put $151.3k on not Patriots, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 12 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Patriots vs. Broncosexcluded$151.3k
SELL Patriots @ 99.9¢ · 151,498 shares
Size ≥ $100kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet shutitfatty took Patriots (sell) for $151.3k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Patriots. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $151.3k+2
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $151.3k
- Placed
- Jan 25, 18:11 EST
- Market close
- Jan 25, 15:00 EST
- Result
- Patriots
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- shutitfatty
- Tx
- 0xc488fe53…
This wallet's graded record
7/12-1.6 pts
expected 7.2 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Patriots vs. Broncos | LOW SELL Patriots @ 99.9¢ | $36.6k | excluded |
| Patriots vs. Broncos | LOW SELL Patriots @ 99.9¢ | $16.5k | excluded |
| Patriots vs. Broncos | LOW SELL Patriots @ 99.9¢ | $14.9k | excluded |
| Patriots vs. Broncos | LOW SELL Patriots @ 99.9¢ | $11.7k | excluded |
| Patriots vs. Broncos | LOW SELL Patriots @ 99.9¢ | $16.3k | excluded |
| Patriots vs. Broncos | LOW SELL Patriots @ 99.9¢ | $45.9k | excluded |