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What this means. A wallet put $97.2k on No, at a price that gave it a 97% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 17 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$97.2k
BUY No @ 97.4¢ · 99,781 shares in 4 fills
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favorite4 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)4.1× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet schizohedgehog took No (buy) for $97.2k at an average 97.4¢. At that price the market implied a 97% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $97.2k+1
Near-certain price-2
4 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 97¢ means
97%chance the market gave
−3716American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 97.4¢
- Implied odds
- 97.4%
- Size
- $97.2k
- Placed
- Apr 04, 12:57 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 29, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- schizohedgehog
- Tx
- 0xc401b0f4…
This wallet's graded record
17/17+9.7 pts
expected 15.3 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $28.1k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ | $13.4k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $13.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $14.9k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢ | $15.1k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢ | $25.9k | excluded |