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What this means. A wallet put $19.5k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 41% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+3.5 pts over 56 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$19.5k
BUY Yes @ 41¢ · 47,619 shares
Size ≥ $10kProven walletSports
What happened
Wallet Zzzz87 took Yes (buy) for $19.5k at an average 41¢. At that price the market implied a 41% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $19.5k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 41¢ means
41%chance the market gave
+144American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 41¢
- Implied odds
- 41.0%
- As American odds
- +144 no vig
- Size
- $19.5k
- Placed
- Jun 17, 17:25 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 17, 19:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Zzzz87
- Tx
- 0xc2cdadfd…
This wallet's graded record
36/56+3.5 pts
expected 34.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +59 ptsYes price · entry 41¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $82.1k 2.2× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $149.3k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $199.8k 3.6× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $22.3k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 98.9¢ | $17.2k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 97¢ | $10.7k | excluded |