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What this means. A wallet put $19.6k on No, at a price that gave it a 55% chance. It won. This wallet has only 10 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$19.6k
BUY No @ 55¢ · 35,714 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet 1l2ihj34li12u34 took No (buy) for $19.6k at an average 55¢. At that price the market implied a 55% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $19.6k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 55¢ means
55%chance the market gave
−122American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 55¢
- Implied odds
- 55.0%
- As American odds
- −122 no vig
- Size
- $19.6k
- Placed
- Oct 23, 11:21 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 23, 12:30 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 1l2ihj34li12u34
- Tx
- 0xbfd4add1…
This wallet's graded record
6/10+10.4 pts
expected 5.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +45 ptsNo price · entry 55¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-10-23? | LOW BUY Yes @ 28¢ | $10.6k | excluded |