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What this means. A wallet put $10.6k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 28% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.6k
BUY Yes @ 28¢ · 37,711 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet robustmst took Yes (buy) for $10.6k at an average 28¢. At that price the market implied a 28% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.6k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 28¢ means
28%chance the market gave
+256American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 28¢
- Implied odds
- 28.1%
- As American odds
- +256 no vig
- Size
- $10.6k
- Placed
- Oct 23, 13:59 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 23, 12:30 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- robustmst
- Tx
- 0x675c1477…
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Entry to resolution
Grade -28 ptsYes price · entry 28¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-10-23? | LOW BUY No @ 55¢ | $19.6k | called |