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What this means. A wallet put $10.9k on No, at a price that gave it a 66% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.9k
BUY No @ 66¢ · 16,575 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet LYnetLY took No (buy) for $10.9k at an average 66¢. At that price the market implied a 66% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.9k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 66¢ means
66%chance the market gave
−194American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 66¢
- Implied odds
- 66.0%
- As American odds
- −194 no vig
- Size
- $10.9k
- Placed
- May 15, 04:23 EDT
- Market close
- May 15, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- LYnetLY
- Tx
- 0xbd46e0b2…
This wallet's graded record
2/8-39.7 pts
expected 5.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -66 ptsNo price · entry 66¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $35.5k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17? | LOW SELL Yes @ 58¢ | $16.5k | excluded |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17? | LOW BUY Yes @ 36¢ | $10.2k | excluded |