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What this means. A wallet put $10.1k on Over, at a price that gave it a 70% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 10 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5missed
$10.1k
BUY Over @ 70¢ · 14,444 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports

What happened

Wallet LinkE5 took Over (buy) for $10.1k at an average 70¢. At that price the market implied a 70% chance for that side. The market resolved Under, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $10.1k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 70¢ means
70%chance the market gave
−233American odds
$1.00paid per share if Over wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
70¢
Implied odds
70.0%
As American odds
−233 no vig
Size
$10.1k
Placed
Jul 07, 14:08 EDT
Market close
Jul 07, 16:00 EDT
Result
Under
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
LinkE5
Tx
0xbcacc3c4…
This wallet's graded record
3/10-25.3 pts
expected 5.5 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade -70 pts
Over price · entry 70¢ · resolved Under
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 70¢ · $10.1k WHALE $10.1K @ 70¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5LOW BUY Under @ 98.6¢ $31.0k99% gwhivan108d agoexcluded
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5HIGH BUY Under @ 83¢ $129.5k
4.9× usual
83% swisstony PROVEN108d agoexcluded
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5LOW BUY Under @ 88¢ $13.6k88% 0xe821…3128108d agoexcluded
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5MED BUY Over @ 40¢ $41.7k40% 0x3dfb…abaf109d agoexcluded
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5LOW BUY Over @ 40¢ $16.1k40% swisstony PROVEN109d agoexcluded
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5MED BUY Under @ 60¢ $40.1k60% omnibus-076daa PROVEN109d agoexcluded