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What this means. A wallet put $10.1k on TCU, at a price that gave it a 78% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-13.9 pts over 32 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
West Virginia vs. TCUmissed
$10.1k
BUY TCU @ 78¢ · 12,893 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports

What happened

Wallet ferrariChampions2026 took TCU (buy) for $10.1k at an average 78¢. At that price the market implied a 78% chance for that side. The market resolved West Virginia, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $10.1k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 78¢ means
78%chance the market gave
−355American odds
$1.00paid per share if TCU wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
78¢
Implied odds
78.0%
As American odds
−355 no vig
Size
$10.1k
Placed
Oct 24, 10:54 EDT
Market close
Oct 24, 12:00 EDT
Result
West Virginia
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
ferrariChampions2026
Tx
0xbb5d906f…
This wallet's graded record
15/32-13.9 pts
expected 19.4 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade -78 pts
TCU price · entry 78¢ · resolved West Virginia
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 78¢ · $10.1k WHALE $10.1K @ 78¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
West Virginia vs. TCUMED BUY West Virginia @ 56¢ $37.7k56% ethanaz10h agoexcluded
West Virginia vs. TCULOW BUY TCU @ 73¢ $22.5k73% Nooserac13h agoexcluded