← Live flags
West Virginia vs. TCUmissed
What this means. A wallet put $10.1k on TCU, at a price that gave it a 78% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-13.9 pts over 32 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.1k
BUY TCU @ 78¢ · 12,893 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet ferrariChampions2026 took TCU (buy) for $10.1k at an average 78¢. At that price the market implied a 78% chance for that side. The market resolved West Virginia, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.1k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 78¢ means
78%chance the market gave
−355American odds
$1.00paid per share if TCU wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 78¢
- Implied odds
- 78.0%
- As American odds
- −355 no vig
- Size
- $10.1k
- Placed
- Oct 24, 10:54 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 24, 12:00 EDT
- Result
- West Virginia
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- ferrariChampions2026
- Tx
- 0xbb5d906f…
This wallet's graded record
15/32-13.9 pts
expected 19.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -78 ptsTCU price · entry 78¢ · resolved West Virginia
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| MED BUY West Virginia @ 56¢ | $37.7k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY TCU @ 73¢ | $22.5k | excluded |