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What this means. A wallet put $10.6k on No, at a price that gave it a 67% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?excluded
$10.6k
BUY No @ 67¢ · 15,750 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet VallarMorghulis took No (buy) for $10.6k at an average 67¢. At that price the market implied a 67% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $10.6k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 67¢ means
67%chance the market gave
−203American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
67¢
Implied odds
67.0%
As American odds
−203 no vig
Size
$10.6k
Placed
Jun 22, 20:36 EDT
Market close
Jun 22, 20:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
VallarMorghulis
Tx
0xbb5d79d2…

Entry to resolution

Grade -67 pts
No price · entry 67¢ · resolved Yes
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 67¢ · $10.6k WHALE $10.6K @ 67¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?MED SELL Yes @ 96¢ $86.7k
4.5× usual
4% suntori LOSING123d agoexcluded
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $12.7k0% 0xe14a…756c123d agoexcluded
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $128.7k0% Z-one NEW123d agoexcluded
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $80.7k0% 0xf501…8063123d agoexcluded
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $19.2k0% zhouqin19888123d agoexcluded
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $47.6k
2.3× usual
0% jasin777123d agoexcluded