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What this means. A wallet put $15.8k on No, at a price that gave it a 95% chance. It won. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$15.8k
BUY No @ 94.8¢ · 16,695 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Crypto
What happened
Wallet lucio12z16 took No (buy) for $15.8k at an average 94.8¢. At that price the market implied a 95% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $15.8k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 95¢ means
95%chance the market gave
−1818American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 94.8¢
- Implied odds
- 94.8%
- Size
- $15.8k
- Placed
- Mar 26, 19:54 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 01, 00:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- lucio12z16
- Tx
- 0xbb5d1c57…
This wallet's graded record
1/3-18.6 pts
expected 1.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +5 ptsNo price · entry 94.8¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $58.4k 3.2× usual |
excluded |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $31.8k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $12.2k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $14.5k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? | LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $19.2k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? | LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $30.0k | excluded |