← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $14.2k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 71% chance. It won. This wallet has only 11 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$14.2k
BUY Yes @ 71¢ · 20,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Politics
What happened
Wallet gopfan2 took Yes (buy) for $14.2k at an average 71¢. At that price the market implied a 71% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $14.2k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 71¢ means
71%chance the market gave
−245American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 71¢
- Implied odds
- 71.0%
- Size
- $14.2k
- Placed
- Feb 26, 09:21 EST
- Market close
- Mar 02, 19:00 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- gopfan2
- Tx
- 0xb816cd20…
This wallet's graded record
6/11+4.1 pts
expected 5.5 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +29 ptsYes price · entry 71¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $16.2k | excluded |
| Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $19.7k | excluded |
| Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $99.7k 3.9× usual |
excluded |
| Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $79.9k | excluded |
| Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.7¢ | $12.6k | excluded |
| Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.7¢ | $18.9k | excluded |