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What this means. A wallet put $12.6k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.6k
SELL Yes @ 99.7¢ · 12,668 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Politics
What happened
Wallet 0xc65b…bbf3 took Yes (sell) for $12.6k at an average 99.7¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.6k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.7¢
- Implied odds
- 0.3%
- Size
- $12.6k
- Placed
- Mar 03, 23:05 EST
- Market close
- Mar 02, 19:00 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0xc65b…bbf3
- Tx
- 0x809275c8…
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $16.2k | excluded |
| Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $19.7k | excluded |
| Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $99.7k 3.9× usual |
excluded |
| Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $79.9k | excluded |
| Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.7¢ | $18.9k | excluded |
| Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.7¢ | $11.4k | excluded |