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Xi Jinping out in 2025?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $99.4k on not No, at a price that gave it a 1% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$99.4k
SELL No @ 99.4¢ · 100,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)3.2× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet 0xb9d8…275a took No (sell) for $99.4k at an average 99.4¢. At that price the market implied a 1% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $99.4k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.4¢
- Implied odds
- 0.6%
- Size
- $99.4k
- Placed
- Dec 15, 22:54 EST
- Market close
- Dec 31, 18:55 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0xb9d8…275a
- Tx
- 0xb3f563f3…
This wallet's graded record
2/2+3.5 pts
expected 1.9 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $11.6k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.8k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $59.9k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $64.9k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $118.0k | excluded |