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What this means. A wallet put $100.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 82% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will England win on 2026-06-23?excluded
$100.0k
BUY Yes @ 82¢ · 121,882 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet Winnerdinnerchickenjr took Yes (buy) for $100.0k at an average 82¢. At that price the market implied a 82% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $100.0k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 82¢ means
82%chance the market gave
−457American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
82¢
Implied odds
82.0%
As American odds
−457 no vig
Size
$100.0k
Placed
Jun 23, 16:13 EDT
Market close
Jun 23, 16:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
Winnerdinnerchickenjr
Tx
0xb3b15c9f…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-66.3 pts
expected 0.7 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -82 pts
Yes price · entry 82¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 82¢ · $100.0k WHALE $100.0K @ 82¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will England win on 2026-06-23?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $89.9k
3.1× usual
0% GrizzliesSuck123d agoexcluded
Will England win on 2026-06-23?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% Endgametheory123d agoexcluded
Will England win on 2026-06-23?LOW SELL No @ 99¢ $20.9k1% imake1mil123d agoexcluded
Will England win on 2026-06-23?LOW SELL No @ 99¢ $15.2k1% jackinv1lvl2123d agoexcluded
Will England win on 2026-06-23?LOW SELL No @ 99¢ $15.4k1% tenpercenttest123d agoexcluded
Will England win on 2026-06-23?LOW BUY No @ 99¢ $48.1k99% 0x2c33…0563123d agoexcluded