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What this means. A wallet put $551.0k on England, at a price that gave it a 51% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+12.9 pts over 25 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$551.0k
BUY England @ 51¢ · 1,080,308 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $250k2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Proven wallet11.4× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet ndb1 took England (buy) for $551.0k at an average 51¢. At that price the market implied a 51% chance for that side. The market resolved England. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $551.0k+3
2 fills within 1h+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 51¢ means
51%chance the market gave
−104American odds
$1.00paid per share if England wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 51¢
- Implied odds
- 51.0%
- As American odds
- −104 no vig
- Size
- $551.0k
- Placed
- Jul 05, 19:13 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 05, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- England
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- ndb1
- Tx
- 0xb349ced7…
This wallet's graded record
16/25+12.9 pts
expected 12.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +49 ptsEngland price · entry 51¢ · resolved England
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance | LOW SELL England @ 99.9¢ | $23.6k | excluded |
| Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance | LOW SELL England @ 99.9¢ | $14.8k | excluded |
| Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance | LOW SELL England @ 99.9¢ | $15.1k | excluded |
| Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance | LOW SELL England @ 99.9¢ | $17.6k | excluded |
| Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance | LOW SELL England @ 99.9¢ | $39.7k | excluded |
| Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance | LOW SELL England @ 99.9¢ | $22.2k | excluded |