0x6978…9897

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 2.1 wins, so it did -2.1 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Price-adjusted edge

-2.1 pts

Called / graded

2/3

Expected from price

2.1

Flagged volume

$118.6k

Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±25.8 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

−$148.3k

Last 30 days +$0 · $3.50M volume · 861 trades · since Mar 14, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

−$133.4k

Open P&L · 3 positions

−$32.4k

Closed-position win rate

51%

276 closed

Wallet age · markets

224d

302 markets traded

By category

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Sports	3	2	2.1	-2.1 pts

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
France vs. England: Team to Win	LOW BUY France @ 69¢	$16.6k	69%	97d ago	excluded
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance	LOW BUY France @ 59¢	$15.5k	59%	101d ago	missed
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance	LOW SELL England @ 99.8¢	$11.9k	0%	104d ago	excluded
Will France win on 2026-07-09?	LOW BUY Yes @ 61¢	$17.9k	61%	106d ago	called
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW SELL Yes @ 33¢	$15.3k	67%	108d ago	called
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance	LOW BUY Argentina @ 86¢	$14.9k	86%	108d ago	called
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance	LOW SELL England @ 99.9¢	$14.8k	0%	110d ago	excluded
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW BUY Yes @ 25¢	$11.6k	25%	118d ago	missed

France vs. England: Team to Winexcluded

BUY France @ 69¢$16.6k

LOW 0x6978…9897 · 97d ago

France vs. Spain: Team to Advancemissed

BUY France @ 59¢$15.5k

LOW 0x6978…9897 · 101d ago

Norway vs. England: Team to Advanceexcluded

SELL England @ 99.8¢$11.9k

LOW 0x6978…9897 · 104d ago

Will France win on 2026-07-09?called

BUY Yes @ 61¢$17.9k

LOW 0x6978…9897 · 106d ago

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?called

SELL Yes @ 33¢$15.3k

LOW 0x6978…9897 · 108d ago

Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancecalled

BUY Argentina @ 86¢$14.9k

LOW 0x6978…9897 · 108d ago

Mexico vs. England: Team to Advanceexcluded

SELL England @ 99.9¢$14.8k

LOW 0x6978…9897 · 110d ago

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?missed

BUY Yes @ 25¢$11.6k

LOW 0x6978…9897 · 118d ago

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