← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $11.8k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 85% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-2.9 pts over 22 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.8k
SELL Yes @ 15¢ · 80,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet TheReturnOfDarthMaul took Yes (sell) for $11.8k at an average 15¢. At that price the market implied a 85% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.8k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 15¢
- Implied odds
- 85.2%
- As American odds
- −576 no vig
- Size
- $11.8k
- Placed
- Jul 10, 17:12 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 15, 20:11 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- TheReturnOfDarthMaul
- Tx
- 0xb30b1d35…
This wallet's graded record
15/22-2.9 pts
expected 15.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +15 ptsYes price · entry 15¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $67.3k | excluded |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $55.7k | excluded |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $31.6k | excluded |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $70.7k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $90.2k 3.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 98¢ | $11.6k | excluded |