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Polymarket · Sports · one bet

Missed
$10.3k

Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-10-29?

hovistomaradona bought No at 44¢. The price gave that side a 44% chance. 23,346 shares, Oct 28, 23:50 EDT.

Alert on this wallet
What this means. A wallet put $10.3k on No, at a price that gave it a 44% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet hovistomaradona bought No for $10.3k at an average 44¢. At that price the market implied 44% for the side they took. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed. It still counts toward the score.

This wallet is 0 of 2 on graded bets, -43.0 pts versus the price. The sample is still short. Big is not the same as right.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Med. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $10.3k+0
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
Size ≥ $10kFresh walletSports
What 44¢ means
44%chance the market gave
+127American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

[04] Price

Entry to resolution

Entry to resolution

Grade -44 pts
No price · entry 44¢ · resolved Yes
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 44¢ · $10.3k WHALE $10.3K @ 44¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Related news

Same names, last 7 days
[ＤＩＲＥＴＴＡ]!!] Lecce vs Frosinone Calcio in diretta – Buffstreams, Crackstreams e StreamEastVantage Data Centers · Google News · 8h agoFrosinone Calcio vs. US Lecce Prediction, Picks, Live Odds – Oct. 29Bleacher Nation · Google News · 13h agoFrosinone Calcio - US Lecce prediction & tips 29.10.2026Transfermarkt · Google News · 1d ago▷ Atalanta-Frosinone Calcio in Diretta Streaming - 小豆島町Google News · Google News · 4d ago

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules

[05]

Other flags on this market

Market page
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-10-29?MED BUY No @ 45¢ $77.9k
2.7× usual
45% 1l2ihj34li12u349h agoExcluded
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-10-29?MED BUY No @ 42¢ $12.2k42% hovistomaradona NEW1d agoMissed
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-10-29?Excluded
BUY No @ 45¢$77.9k
MED 1l2ihj34li12u34 · 9h ago
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-10-29?Missed
BUY No @ 42¢$12.2k
MED New wallet hovistomaradona · 1d ago

Same game on Kalshi

Kalshi is a separate US exchange. These are large trades or sudden odds moves on this same game. A public nickname shows when the social feed names that side.

YES Tie$14.2k23¢12h ago