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Polymarket · Sports · one bet

Excluded
$77.9k

Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-10-29?

1l2ihj34li12u34 bought No at 45¢. The price gave that side a 45% chance. 173,198 shares, 3 fills, Oct 29, 12:37 EDT.

What this means. A wallet put $77.9k on No, at a price that gave it a 45% chance. The market resolved Yes, and this bet is not graded. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet 1l2ihj34li12u34 bought No for $77.9k at an average 45¢. At that price the market implied 45% for the side they took. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Med. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $77.9k+1
3 fills within 1h+1
Size ≥ $10k3 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)2.7× this wallet's usual betSports
What 45¢ means
45%chance the market gave
+122American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

[04] Price

Entry to resolution

Entry to resolution

Grade -45 pts
No price · entry 45¢ · resolved Yes
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 45¢ · $77.9k WHALE $77.9K @ 45¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Related news

Same names, last 7 days

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules

[05]

Other flags on this market

Market page
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-10-29?MED BUY No @ 44¢ $10.3k44% hovistomaradona NEW20h agoMissed
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-10-29?MED BUY No @ 42¢ $12.2k42% hovistomaradona NEW22h agoMissed

Same game on Kalshi

Kalshi is a separate US exchange. These are large trades or sudden odds moves on this same game. A public nickname shows when the social feed names that side.

YES Tie$14.2k23¢10h ago