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What this means. A wallet put $10.2k on Atlanta Braves, at a price that gave it a 64% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+7.7 pts over 24 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.2k
BUY Atlanta Braves @ 64¢ · 16,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kProven walletSports
What happened
Wallet nigiri99 took Atlanta Braves (buy) for $10.2k at an average 64¢. At that price the market implied a 64% chance for that side. The market resolved Cincinnati Reds, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.2k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 64¢ means
64%chance the market gave
−178American odds
$1.00paid per share if Atlanta Braves wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 64¢
- Implied odds
- 64.0%
- As American odds
- −178 no vig
- Size
- $10.2k
- Placed
- Sep 22, 15:33 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 22, 19:15 EDT
- Result
- Cincinnati Reds
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- nigiri99
- Tx
- 0xb1c02a85…
This wallet's graded record
17/24+7.7 pts
expected 15.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -64 ptsAtlanta Braves price · entry 64¢ · resolved Cincinnati Reds
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves | LOW BUY Cincinnati Reds @ 91¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves | LOW BUY Cincinnati Reds @ 91¢ | $24.9k | excluded |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves | LOW BUY Atlanta Braves @ 28¢ | $12.7k | excluded |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves | LOW BUY Cincinnati Reds @ 40¢ | $34.1k | excluded |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves | LOW BUY Atlanta Braves @ 68¢ | $49.0k | excluded |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves | LOW BUY Atlanta Braves @ 69¢ | $19.3k | missed |