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Patriots vs. Broncosmissed
What this means. A wallet put $20.2k on Broncos, at a price that gave it a 31% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 16 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Patriots vs. Broncosmissed$20.2k
BUY Broncos @ 31¢ · 65,128 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet DrPufferfish took Broncos (buy) for $20.2k at an average 31¢. At that price the market implied a 31% chance for that side. The market resolved Patriots, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $20.2k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 31¢ means
31%chance the market gave
+223American odds
$1.00paid per share if Broncos wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 31¢
- Implied odds
- 31.0%
- As American odds
- +223 no vig
- Size
- $20.2k
- Placed
- Jan 20, 11:37 EST
- Market close
- Jan 25, 15:00 EST
- Result
- Patriots
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- DrPufferfish
- Tx
- 0xb1bf9dcc…
This wallet's graded record
6/16-1.0 pts
expected 6.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -31 ptsBroncos price · entry 31¢ · resolved Patriots
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Patriots vs. Broncos | LOW SELL Patriots @ 99.9¢ | $36.6k | excluded |
| Patriots vs. Broncos | LOW SELL Patriots @ 99.9¢ | $16.5k | excluded |
| Patriots vs. Broncos | LOW SELL Patriots @ 99.9¢ | $14.9k | excluded |
| Patriots vs. Broncos | LOW SELL Patriots @ 99.9¢ | $11.7k | excluded |
| Patriots vs. Broncos | LOW SELL Patriots @ 99.9¢ | $16.3k | excluded |
| Patriots vs. Broncos | LOW SELL Patriots @ 99.9¢ | $45.9k | excluded |