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Timberwolves vs. Magicmissed
What this means. A wallet put $14.9k on Magic, at a price that gave it a 47% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-3.6 pts over 54 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Timberwolves vs. Magicmissed$14.9k
BUY Magic @ 47¢ · 31,683 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet YYYYY999 took Magic (buy) for $14.9k at an average 47¢. At that price the market implied a 47% chance for that side. The market resolved Timberwolves, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $14.9k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 47¢ means
47%chance the market gave
+113American odds
$1.00paid per share if Magic wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 47¢
- Implied odds
- 47.0%
- As American odds
- +113 no vig
- Size
- $14.9k
- Placed
- Oct 23, 08:54 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 23, 19:00 EDT
- Result
- Timberwolves
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- YYYYY999
- Tx
- 0xb1a5ed1a…
This wallet's graded record
27/54-3.6 pts
expected 28.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -47 ptsMagic price · entry 47¢ · resolved Timberwolves
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Timberwolves vs. Magic | LOW SELL Timberwolves @ 99.9¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| Timberwolves vs. Magic | LOW SELL Timberwolves @ 99.9¢ | $16.0k | excluded |
| Timberwolves vs. Magic | LOW BUY Timberwolves @ 99¢ | $30.5k | excluded |
| Timberwolves vs. Magic | LOW BUY Timberwolves @ 48¢ | $18.6k | excluded |
| Timberwolves vs. Magic | MED BUY Magic @ 53¢ | $35.7k | excluded |
| Timberwolves vs. Magic | LOW BUY Magic @ 52¢ | $10.4k | missed |