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What this means. A wallet put $10.7k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 5% chance. It lost. This wallet has a proven record: +12.8 pts vs the price over 34 bets. A bet from a wallet like this is worth a look; one from a random whale usually isn't. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.7k
BUY Yes @ 5.2¢ · 205,854 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Proven walletSports
What happened
Wallet GoriIIa took Yes (buy) for $10.7k at an average 5.2¢. At that price the market implied a 5% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $10.7k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 5¢ means
5%chance the market gave
+1823American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 5.2¢
- Implied odds
- 5.2%
- As American odds
- +1823 no vig
- Size
- $10.7k
- Placed
- May 17, 03:56 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 29, 22:36 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- GoriIIa
- Tx
- 0xb0f0caec…
This wallet's graded record
32/34+12.8 pts
expected 27.7 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 98¢ | $106.2k 3.7× usual |
excluded |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED SELL No @ 97.1¢ | $69.7k | excluded |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | HIGH SELL No @ 95.8¢ | $127.9k 2.6× usual |
missed |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED SELL No @ 95.5¢ | $15.8k | missed |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | HIGH SELL No @ 95.5¢ | $176.1k 3.6× usual |
missed |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 5.9¢ | $139.3k 2.8× usual |
missed |