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What this means. A wallet put $12.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 98% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.0k
BUY No @ 98.4¢ · 12,200 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Crypto
What happened
Wallet LucasMeow took No (buy) for $12.0k at an average 98.4¢. At that price the market implied a 98% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.0k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 98¢ means
98%chance the market gave
−6150American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 98.4¢
- Implied odds
- 98.4%
- Size
- $12.0k
- Placed
- Feb 25, 20:20 EST
- Market close
- Mar 01, 00:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- LucasMeow
- Tx
- 0xb0c23e46…
This wallet's graded record
3/3+8.1 pts
expected 2.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +2 ptsNo price · entry 98.4¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $20.4k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $11.2k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $19.9k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $22.0k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $36.4k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $10.1k | excluded |