← Wallets
−$16776ers · avg 85¢ → 84¢ · $15.5k
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.0 wins, so it did -4.1 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-4.1 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$137.7k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±19.8 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$703
Last 30 days +$544 · $905.4k volume · 264 trades · since Feb 12, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$5,905
Open P&L · 9 positions
−$10.5k
Closed-position win rate
75%
60 closed
Wallet age · markets
254d
69 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -4.1 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 55¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 66¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 87¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $21.2k | excluded |
 Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February? | LOW SELL No @ 95.9¢ | $11.5k | missed |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February? | LOW SELL No @ 99¢ | $22.2k | excluded |
 US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.1¢ | $17.0k | excluded |
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