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What this means. A wallet put $18.4k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 83% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has a losing record: -18.2 pts vs the price over 26 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will England win on 2026-06-23?excluded
$18.4k
BUY Yes @ 83¢ · 22,236 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet suntori took Yes (buy) for $18.4k at an average 83¢. At that price the market implied a 83% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $18.4k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 83¢ means
83%chance the market gave
−487American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
83¢
Implied odds
83.0%
As American odds
−487 no vig
Size
$18.4k
Placed
Jun 23, 16:16 EDT
Market close
Jun 23, 16:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
suntori
Tx
0xb0acda63…
This wallet's graded record
10/26-18.2 pts
expected 14.7 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -83 pts
Yes price · entry 83¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 83¢ · $18.4k WHALE $18.4K @ 83¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will England win on 2026-06-23?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $89.9k
3.1× usual
0% GrizzliesSuck123d agoexcluded
Will England win on 2026-06-23?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% Endgametheory123d agoexcluded
Will England win on 2026-06-23?LOW SELL No @ 99¢ $20.9k1% imake1mil123d agoexcluded
Will England win on 2026-06-23?LOW SELL No @ 99¢ $15.2k1% jackinv1lvl2123d agoexcluded
Will England win on 2026-06-23?LOW SELL No @ 99¢ $15.4k1% tenpercenttest123d agoexcluded
Will England win on 2026-06-23?LOW BUY No @ 99¢ $48.1k99% 0x2c33…0563123d agoexcluded