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What this means. A wallet put $10.8k on not No, at a price that gave it a 7% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.8k
SELL No @ 93¢ · 11,598 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet Casablanca10 took No (sell) for $10.8k at an average 93¢. At that price the market implied a 7% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.8k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 93¢
- Implied odds
- 7.0%
- Size
- $10.8k
- Placed
- Mar 24, 13:19 EDT
- Market close
- Mar 30, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Casablanca10
- Tx
- 0xafebc01f…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-31.0 pts
expected 0.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -7 ptsNo price · entry 93¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $19.6k | excluded |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $29.0k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $32.9k | excluded |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $152.4k 6.4× usual |
excluded |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | LOW BUY No @ 98.5¢ | $12.7k | excluded |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | LOW BUY No @ 97.7¢ | $44.1k | excluded |