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What this means. A wallet put $12.7k on No, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.7k
BUY No @ 98.5¢ · 12,934 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteOther
What happened
Wallet Istaroth took No (buy) for $12.7k at an average 98.5¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.7k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−6567American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 98.5¢
- Implied odds
- 98.5%
- Size
- $12.7k
- Placed
- Mar 30, 07:02 EDT
- Market close
- Mar 30, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Istaroth
- Tx
- 0xd41a16e3…
This wallet's graded record
4/9-8.0 pts
expected 4.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +1 ptsNo price · entry 98.5¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $19.6k | excluded |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $29.0k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $32.9k | excluded |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $152.4k 6.4× usual |
excluded |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | LOW BUY No @ 97.7¢ | $44.1k | excluded |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | LOW SELL No @ 90¢ | $17.0k | missed |