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What this means. A wallet put $13.1k on Under, at a price that gave it a 53% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+11.3 pts over 67 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$13.1k
BUY Under @ 53¢ · 24,656 shares
Size ≥ $10kProven walletSports
What happened
Wallet omnibus-076daa took Under (buy) for $13.1k at an average 53¢. At that price the market implied a 53% chance for that side. The market resolved Over, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $13.1k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 53¢ means
53%chance the market gave
−113American odds
$1.00paid per share if Under wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 53¢
- Implied odds
- 53.0%
- As American odds
- −113 no vig
- Size
- $13.1k
- Placed
- Jun 23, 22:58 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 24, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Over
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- omnibus-076daa
- Tx
- 0xaf96ca5b…
This wallet's graded record
39/67+11.3 pts
expected 31.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -53 ptsUnder price · entry 53¢ · resolved Over
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 2.5 | LOW SELL Over @ 99.9¢ | $17.0k | excluded |
| Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 2.5 | LOW SELL Over @ 99.9¢ | $36.2k | excluded |
| Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 2.5 | LOW SELL Over @ 99.9¢ | $53.3k | excluded |
| Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 2.5 | LOW SELL Over @ 99¢ | $18.4k | excluded |
| Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 2.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 54¢ | $13.2k | excluded |
| Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 2.5 | LOW BUY Under @ 47¢ | $23.2k | excluded |