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What this means. A wallet put $792.9k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$792.9k
BUY No @ 99.9¢ · 793,700 shares
Size ≥ $250kHeavy favoriteFresh walletEconomy
What happened
Wallet f4fCdFc8355bfEa5D25-1783 took No (buy) for $792.9k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $792.9k+3
Near-certain price-2
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 99.9%
- Size
- $792.9k
- Placed
- Jul 27, 23:29 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 28, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- f4fCdFc8355bfEa5D25-1783
- Tx
- 0xaf4fb281…
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +0 ptsNo price · entry 99.9¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $1.23M | excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $139.5k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $476.0k 4.7× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $72.9k 3.6× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |