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What this means. A wallet put $1.16M on Yes, at a price that gave it a 59% chance. It won. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?called
$1.16M
BUY Yes @ 59¢ · 1,956,017 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $250k3 fills in 1hFresh walletSports

What happened

Wallet yamal19 took Yes (buy) for $1.16M at an average 59¢. At that price the market implied a 59% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

HIGH
Size $1.16M+3
3 fills within 1h+1
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 59¢ means
59%chance the market gave
−144American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
59¢
Implied odds
59.1%
As American odds
−144 no vig
Size
$1.16M
Placed
Jul 19, 09:48 EDT
Market close
Jul 19, 20:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
yamal19
Tx
0xae94f459…
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade +41 pts
Yes price · entry 59¢ · resolved Yes
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 59¢ · $1.16M WHALE $1.16M @ 59¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $35.7k0% Deido96d agoexcluded
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $43.0k0% neymar196d agoexcluded
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $26.7k0% 0x929a…a3d896d agoexcluded
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $100.3k0% Djdjdjekekek96d agoexcluded
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $64.7k0% 0x37ee…f86f96d agoexcluded
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $20.5k0% Nihaww96d agoexcluded