← Live flags
Broncos vs. Chiefsmissed
What this means. A wallet put $63.0k on Broncos, at a price that gave it a 44% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-3.7 pts over 54 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$63.0k
BUY Broncos @ 44¢ · 143,089 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet 0x2c33…0563 took Broncos (buy) for $63.0k at an average 44¢. At that price the market implied a 44% chance for that side. The market resolved Chiefs, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $63.0k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 44¢ means
44%chance the market gave
+127American odds
$1.00paid per share if Broncos wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 44¢
- Implied odds
- 44.0%
- As American odds
- +127 no vig
- Size
- $63.0k
- Placed
- Sep 14, 02:10 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 14, 20:15 EDT
- Result
- Chiefs
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x2c33…0563
- Tx
- 0xae3cdbf1…
This wallet's graded record
27/54-3.7 pts
expected 29.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -44 ptsBroncos price · entry 44¢ · resolved Chiefs
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| MED SELL Chiefs @ 99.9¢ | $4.85M 3.6× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Chiefs @ 99.9¢ | $64.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Chiefs @ 98.9¢ | $17.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Chiefs @ 90¢ | $40.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Chiefs @ 57¢ | $10.3k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Chiefs @ 65¢ | $14.3k | excluded |