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What this means. A wallet put $63.0k on Broncos, at a price that gave it a 44% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-3.7 pts over 54 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Broncos vs. Chiefsmissed
$63.0k
BUY Broncos @ 44¢ · 143,089 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports

What happened

Wallet 0x2c33…0563 took Broncos (buy) for $63.0k at an average 44¢. At that price the market implied a 44% chance for that side. The market resolved Chiefs, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $63.0k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 44¢ means
44%chance the market gave
+127American odds
$1.00paid per share if Broncos wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
44¢
Implied odds
44.0%
As American odds
+127 no vig
Size
$63.0k
Placed
Sep 14, 02:10 EDT
Market close
Sep 14, 20:15 EDT
Result
Chiefs
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
0x2c33…0563
Tx
0xae3cdbf1…
This wallet's graded record
27/54-3.7 pts
expected 29.0 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade -44 pts
Broncos price · entry 44¢ · resolved Chiefs
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 44¢ · $63.0k WHALE $63.0K @ 44¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Broncos vs. ChiefsMED SELL Chiefs @ 99.9¢ $4.85M
3.6× usual
0% 0x5169…184239d agoexcluded
Broncos vs. ChiefsLOW BUY Chiefs @ 99.9¢ $64.0k100% 0x2c33…056339d agoexcluded
Broncos vs. ChiefsLOW SELL Chiefs @ 98.9¢ $17.0k1% johnny23439d agoexcluded
Broncos vs. ChiefsLOW BUY Chiefs @ 90¢ $40.0k90% fivethirty39d agoexcluded
Broncos vs. ChiefsLOW BUY Chiefs @ 57¢ $10.3k57% 0xfc08…a13739d agoexcluded
Broncos vs. ChiefsLOW BUY Chiefs @ 65¢ $14.3k65% sulumos39d agoexcluded