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What this means. A wallet put $65.4k on Broncos, at a price that gave it a 44% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Broncos vs. 49ersexcluded
$65.4k
BUY Broncos @ 44¢ · 149,179 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $10k3 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)2.1× this wallet's usual betSports

What happened

Wallet ethanaz took Broncos (buy) for $65.4k at an average 44¢. At that price the market implied a 44% chance for that side. The market resolved 49ers. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $65.4k+1
3 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 44¢ means
44%chance the market gave
+128American odds
$1.00paid per share if Broncos wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
44¢
Implied odds
43.8%
As American odds
+128 no vig
Size
$65.4k
Placed
Oct 04, 17:02 EDT
Market close
Oct 04, 16:25 EDT
Result
49ers
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
ethanaz
Tx
0xae328562…

Entry to resolution

Grade -44 pts
Broncos price · entry 44¢ · resolved 49ers
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 44¢ · $65.4k WHALE $65.4K @ 44¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Broncos vs. 49ersLOW BUY 49ers @ 85¢ $23.1k85% Yellow-Fever20d agoexcluded
Broncos vs. 49ersLOW BUY 49ers @ 72¢ $16.8k72% n0tTODAY20d agoexcluded
Broncos vs. 49ersMED BUY 49ers @ 64¢ $77.8k
3.6× usual
64% mooseborzoii20d agoexcluded
Broncos vs. 49ersLOW BUY Broncos @ 40¢ $19.6k40% Paracellus20d agoexcluded
Broncos vs. 49ersLOW BUY Broncos @ 40¢ $16.7k40% ethanaz20d agoexcluded
Broncos vs. 49ersLOW BUY 49ers @ 62¢ $16.7k62% stackingsats20d agoexcluded