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Kings vs. Clippersexcluded
What this means. A wallet put $10.6k on Kings, at a price that gave it a 40% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.6k
BUY Kings @ 40¢ · 26,443 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0xcae4…e479 took Kings (buy) for $10.6k at an average 40¢. At that price the market implied a 40% chance for that side. The market resolved Kings. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.6k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 40¢ means
40%chance the market gave
+148American odds
$1.00paid per share if Kings wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 40¢
- Implied odds
- 40.3%
- As American odds
- +148 no vig
- Size
- $10.6k
- Placed
- Mar 14, 23:44 EDT
- Market close
- Mar 14, 22:30 EDT
- Result
- Kings
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0xcae4…e479
- Tx
- 0xacb691a5…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-57.8 pts
expected 0.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +60 ptsKings price · entry 40¢ · resolved Kings
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Kings @ 99.9¢ | $13.1k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Kings @ 99.9¢ | $26.4k 2.0× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL Kings @ 99.9¢ | $64.2k 2.5× usual |
excluded | |
| MED BUY Kings @ 96.6¢ | $37.2k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Clippers @ 48¢ | $27.1k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Kings @ 87¢ | $22.1k | excluded |