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What this means. A wallet put $10.6k on Kings, at a price that gave it a 40% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Kings vs. Clippersexcluded
$10.6k
BUY Kings @ 40¢ · 26,443 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet 0xcae4…e479 took Kings (buy) for $10.6k at an average 40¢. At that price the market implied a 40% chance for that side. The market resolved Kings. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $10.6k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 40¢ means
40%chance the market gave
+148American odds
$1.00paid per share if Kings wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
40¢
Implied odds
40.3%
As American odds
+148 no vig
Size
$10.6k
Placed
Mar 14, 23:44 EDT
Market close
Mar 14, 22:30 EDT
Result
Kings
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
0xcae4…e479
Tx
0xacb691a5…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-57.8 pts
expected 0.6 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +60 pts
Kings price · entry 40¢ · resolved Kings
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 40¢ · $10.6k WHALE $10.6K @ 40¢
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Kings vs. ClippersLOW SELL Kings @ 99.9¢ $13.1k0% sunflowaa223d agoexcluded
Kings vs. ClippersLOW SELL Kings @ 99.9¢ $26.4k
2.0× usual
0% 0xcae4…e479223d agoexcluded
Kings vs. ClippersLOW SELL Kings @ 99.9¢ $64.2k
2.5× usual
0% 0xfec8…50f7223d agoexcluded
Kings vs. ClippersMED BUY Kings @ 96.6¢ $37.2k97% Countrysid223d agoexcluded
Kings vs. ClippersLOW SELL Clippers @ 48¢ $27.1k52% mono2393223d agoexcluded
Kings vs. ClippersLOW BUY Kings @ 87¢ $22.1k87% BABELCONSTEL223d agoexcluded