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What this means. A wallet put $12.6k on No, at a price that gave it a 72% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 12 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.6k
BUY No @ 72¢ · 17,500 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Politics
What happened
Wallet starbuck02 took No (buy) for $12.6k at an average 72¢. At that price the market implied a 72% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.6k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 72¢ means
72%chance the market gave
−257American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 72¢
- Implied odds
- 72.0%
- Size
- $12.6k
- Placed
- Apr 11, 19:33 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 11, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- starbuck02
- Tx
- 0xa9c4e9d7…
This wallet's graded record
7/12-6.0 pts
expected 7.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +28 ptsNo price · entry 72¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $21.0k | excluded |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $21.0k | excluded |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | LOW SELL No @ 99.4¢ | $14.0k | excluded |