Cherut

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?−$2,117Yes · avg 27¢ → 15¢ · $2,841 Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?−$8No · avg 1.7¢ → 1.4¢ · $42 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?−$1Yes · avg 31¢ → 28¢ · $11 · 0 proven with, 1 against

Price-adjusted edge

—

Called / graded

0/0

Expected from price

0.0

Flagged volume

$10.9k

Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

+$15.3k

Last 30 days −$557 · $820.7k volume · 1,080 trades · since Feb 03, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

+$29.2k

Open P&L · 8 positions

−$13.5k

Closed-position win rate

59%

71 closed

Wallet age · markets

263d

74 markets traded

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢	$10.9k	0%	172d ago	excluded

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?excluded

SELL No @ 99.9¢$10.9k

LOW Cherut · 172d ago

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