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What this means. A wallet put $21.2k on No, at a price that gave it a 53% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$21.2k
BUY No @ 53¢ · 40,000 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hSports
What happened
Wallet sangeshami took No (buy) for $21.2k at an average 53¢. At that price the market implied a 53% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $21.2k+0
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 53¢ means
53%chance the market gave
−113American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 53¢
- Implied odds
- 53.0%
- As American odds
- −113 no vig
- Size
- $21.2k
- Placed
- Jun 18, 13:33 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 18, 21:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- sangeshami
- Tx
- 0xa86f8ae8…
This wallet's graded record
4/7+3.7 pts
expected 3.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -53 ptsNo price · entry 53¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $23.1k | excluded |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99¢ | $20.8k | excluded |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | LOW BUY Yes @ 90¢ | $29.3k | excluded |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | LOW BUY Yes @ 90¢ | $11.7k | excluded |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | LOW SELL Yes @ 87¢ | $18.1k | excluded |