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What this means. A wallet put $10.3k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 2% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.3k
SELL Yes @ 97.6¢ · 10,602 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet .ethguy took Yes (sell) for $10.3k at an average 97.6¢. At that price the market implied a 2% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.3k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 97.6¢
- Implied odds
- 2.4%
- Size
- $10.3k
- Placed
- May 22, 19:28 EDT
- Market close
- May 23, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- .ethguy
- Tx
- 0xa84331ca…
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +98 ptsYes price · entry 97.6¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $29.3k | excluded |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $199.7k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $30.6k | excluded |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $20.7k | excluded |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $30.1k | excluded |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢ | $12.3k | excluded |