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What this means. A wallet put $46.5k on Alex Michelsen, at a price that gave it a 42% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$46.5k
BUY Alex Michelsen @ 42¢ · 110,794 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $10k3 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet totoro3miyazaki took Alex Michelsen (buy) for $46.5k at an average 42¢. At that price the market implied a 42% chance for that side. The market resolved Frances Tiafoe. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $46.5k+1
3 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 42¢ means
42%chance the market gave
+138American odds
$1.00paid per share if Alex Michelsen wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 42¢
- Implied odds
- 42.0%
- As American odds
- +138 no vig
- Size
- $46.5k
- Placed
- Sep 08, 14:22 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 08, 14:25 EDT
- Result
- Frances Tiafoe
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- totoro3miyazaki
- Tx
- 0xa80aee72…
This wallet's graded record
0/2-36.0 pts
expected 0.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -42 ptsAlex Michelsen price · entry 42¢ · resolved Frances Tiafoe
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen | MED SELL Frances Tiafoe @ 99.9¢ | $251.5k 6.7× usual |
excluded |
| US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen | LOW SELL Frances Tiafoe @ 99.9¢ | $18.7k | excluded |
| US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen | LOW SELL Frances Tiafoe @ 99.9¢ | $48.3k 2.9× usual |
excluded |
| US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen | LOW SELL Frances Tiafoe @ 99.9¢ | $12.5k | excluded |
| US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen | LOW SELL Frances Tiafoe @ 99.9¢ | $11.9k | excluded |
| US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen | LOW BUY Frances Tiafoe @ 54¢ | $18.5k | excluded |