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Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5excluded
What this means. A wallet put $21.9k on not Over, at a price that gave it a 32% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5excluded$21.9k
SELL Over @ 68¢ · 32,258 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet PS003 took Over (sell) for $21.9k at an average 68¢. At that price the market implied a 32% chance for that side. The market resolved Under. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $21.9k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 68¢
- Implied odds
- 32.0%
- As American odds
- +212 no vig
- Size
- $21.9k
- Placed
- Jun 26, 23:59 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 26, 23:00 EDT
- Result
- Under
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- PS003
- Tx
- 0xa7b70167…
This wallet's graded record
2/3+6.2 pts
expected 1.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +68 ptsOver price · entry 68¢ · resolved Under · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5 | MED BUY Over @ 60¢ | $27.7k | excluded |
| Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5 | MED BUY Under @ 69¢ | $89.7k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5 | MED BUY Over @ 32¢ | $22.7k | excluded |
| Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5 | LOW BUY Under @ 70¢ | $21.7k | excluded |
| Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5 | LOW BUY Under @ 68¢ | $27.9k | excluded |
| Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5 | MED BUY Under @ 68¢ | $130.2k | excluded |