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What this means. A wallet put $23.2k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$23.2k
BUY Yes @ 99¢ · 23,484 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteOther
What happened
Wallet scout took Yes (buy) for $23.2k at an average 99¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $23.2k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−9900American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99¢
- Implied odds
- 99.0%
- Size
- $23.2k
- Placed
- Oct 21, 08:23 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 21, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- scout
- Tx
- 0xa6541b74…
This wallet's graded record
4/4+4.8 pts
expected 3.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +1 ptsYes price · entry 99¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.5¢ | $15.9k | excluded |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.5¢ | $11.9k | excluded |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.4¢ | $25.0k | excluded |