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What this means. A wallet put $42.9k on not No, at a price that gave it a 29% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 12 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$42.9k
SELL No @ 71¢ · 60,100 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Politics
What happened
Wallet 0x4488…e319 took No (sell) for $42.9k at an average 71¢. At that price the market implied a 29% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $42.9k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 71¢
- Implied odds
- 28.5%
- Size
- $42.9k
- Placed
- Jun 04, 18:49 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 06, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x4488…e319
- Tx
- 0xa2d296e6…
This wallet's graded record
11/12+12.9 pts
expected 9.5 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -29 ptsNo price · entry 71¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $106.7k 4.0× usual |
excluded |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $18.3k | excluded |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.4k | excluded |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $17.0k | excluded |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW SELL No @ 99.2¢ | $17.8k | excluded |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢ | $20.3k | excluded |