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What this means. A wallet put $36.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 98% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded
$36.0k
BUY No @ 97.5¢ · 36,923 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Sports

What happened

Wallet 0x6ae1…1e7e took No (buy) for $36.0k at an average 97.5¢. At that price the market implied a 98% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $36.0k+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 98¢ means
98%chance the market gave
−3900American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
97.5¢
Implied odds
97.5%
As American odds
−3900 no vig
Size
$36.0k
Placed
Jan 30, 12:32 EST
Market close
Jul 11, 22:58 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
0x6ae1…1e7e
Tx
0xa1ebb193…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+17.8 pts
expected 0.8 from price

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $150.3k
4.4× usual
0% jinwujinshu104d agoexcluded
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $50.0k
2.0× usual
0% 1922104d agoexcluded
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $22.8k
2.1× usual
0% redbaron23104d agoexcluded
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $21.2k0% rodrigr28104d agoexcluded
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $22.0k0% 0x4e8b…05bd104d agoexcluded
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ $90.0k99% 0xe690…e257 NEW104d agoexcluded