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What this means. A wallet put $21.7k on not England, at a price that gave it a 48% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$21.7k
SELL England @ 52¢ · 41,667 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet johndegen took England (sell) for $21.7k at an average 52¢. At that price the market implied a 48% chance for that side. The market resolved England, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $21.7k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 52¢
- Implied odds
- 48.0%
- As American odds
- +108 no vig
- Size
- $21.7k
- Placed
- Jul 05, 13:33 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 05, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- England
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- johndegen
- Tx
- 0xa10e4809…
This wallet's graded record
5/7+8.8 pts
expected 4.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -48 ptsEngland price · entry 52¢ · resolved England · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance | LOW SELL England @ 99.9¢ | $23.6k | excluded |
| Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance | LOW SELL England @ 99.9¢ | $14.8k | excluded |
| Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance | LOW SELL England @ 99.9¢ | $15.1k | excluded |
| Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance | LOW SELL England @ 99.9¢ | $17.6k | excluded |
| Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance | LOW SELL England @ 99.9¢ | $39.7k | excluded |
| Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance | LOW SELL England @ 99.9¢ | $22.2k | excluded |