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What this means. A wallet put $24.8k on Tulsa, at a price that gave it a 58% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Army vs. Tulsaexcluded
$24.8k
BUY Tulsa @ 58¢ · 42,781 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet KaneAnalytics took Tulsa (buy) for $24.8k at an average 58¢. At that price the market implied a 58% chance for that side. The market resolved Army. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $24.8k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 58¢ means
58%chance the market gave
−138American odds
$1.00paid per share if Tulsa wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
58¢
Implied odds
58.0%
As American odds
−138 no vig
Size
$24.8k
Placed
Oct 23, 21:22 EDT
Market close
Oct 23, 20:30 EDT
Result
Army
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
KaneAnalytics
Tx
0xa0eded9c…

Entry to resolution

Grade -58 pts
Tulsa price · entry 58¢ · resolved Army
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 58¢ · $24.8k WHALE $24.8K @ 58¢
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Army vs. TulsaLOW BUY Army @ 58¢ $14.2k58% Nooserac18h agoexcluded
Army vs. TulsaLOW BUY Tulsa @ 80¢ $33.9k80% takeormake18h agoexcluded
Army vs. TulsaLOW BUY Tulsa @ 82¢ $33.0k82% TAIWANNUMBERONE19h agoexcluded
Army vs. TulsaLOW BUY Tulsa @ 83¢ $20.8k83% Nooserac19h agoexcluded
Army vs. TulsaMED BUY Army @ 38¢ $75.0k38% 0x2c33…056319h agoexcluded
Army vs. TulsaMED BUY Tulsa @ 62¢ $75.6k
2.7× usual
62% KaneAnalytics19h agoexcluded

Same game on Kalshi

Kalshi is a separate US exchange for the same kind of yes/no prices. These are large trades or sudden odds moves we flagged there on this same game. Kalshi doesn't show who traded.

YES Tulsa odds move$2.24M74¢19h ago
NO Army odds move$515.9k75¢19h ago
YES Tulsa$17.0k68¢19h ago
YES Over 63.5 points$11.9k91¢19h ago
YES Tulsa$10.1k61¢19h ago
YES Tulsa$20.0k61¢19h ago
YES Tulsa$20.1k61¢19h ago
YES Tulsa$10.0k61¢19h ago